Here's the culprit. Typical timing belt with lugs spun off around the crankshaft. I counted 28 lugs missing, and recovered 28 lugs scattered through the belt cover assembly. I'm just not comfortable with any of those flailing about in there.
The water pump looks and feels very good. According to the records, it was changed about 20k miles ago, and they're usually "good" for 60k, so I'm going to make a judgement call and leave this one alone.

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